How do Works of Art get Overrated?

I have noticed that people talk about overrated things like the overratedness occurred due to an astrological coincidence. Take these examples of reddit comments replying to a thread asking about overrated anime as an example: To be fair to the last comment, they were at least willing to ask themselves why people like it, so …

Taking and Rating Political Tests

note: auth vs lib will be inconsistent for me because it will depend on the questions they ask. I lean left on sex/general autonomy/prostitution/religion, right on lgbt/divorce/gendershit. I have a nationalist worldview, but don't feel patriotic, so questions aimed at asking about personal patriotism will fail. List: Political Compass Test - 4/10 IDRLABS - 6/10 …

Intelligence is not Pareto Distributed

Windsor Swan has argued on his substack that intelligence is pareto distributed, not normally distributed. If this was the case, the IQ distribution would be converted to this scale: I think this is intuitively ridiculous, though I have statistical and theoretical evidence to support why I think intelligence is close to normally distribution Theoretical Evidence …

Reaction Time and Gaming Skill

The idea behind why simple reaction time matters in games is because the state of the game and your decisions will be more closely aligned than the other players, leading to more precise play. Some famous highlights are based solely on fast reaction times, for example: Faker UZI FORG1VEN FORG1VEN WildTurtle I have several lines …

Online Reaction Time Tests Unreliable Across Setups and Tests

To evaluate this, I chose 5 tests I have not used in the last year, I did 5 tries on each, then 5 in the reverse order. This is to diminish the practice effect generated from doing them all. I did it on my PC first then on my laptop. The PC has a 240Hz …

Data Damage in an AI Study on Predicting Professional LoL

Study Link Damaged Data Link MyProof For those who don't know how League of Legends works, you have 5 players fight to kill the main building on a large map. You have two sides, red and blue. You have 5 roles: Top, Jungle, Mid, ADC, and Support. Top goes to the top lane, jungler kills …

Random Thoughts on Pokemon Designs

see here for a good list of all of them. there is a gradual decrease in "familiarity" where pokemon designs less effectively communicate what the pokemon does, which accelerates past gen 5. pokemon designs get progressively more complex, resulting in more variance in design quality. i think this is why people tend to dislike pokemon …

Deceitfulness by Race

data+code The NLSY has done humanity a great service by having two variables in their NLSY97 dataset: one is a parent-rated assessment of whether an individual lies or cheats and another where that individual reports whether they lie or cheat. The correlation between these two variables was 0.234: low reliability , but good enough for …

Idea on how Power Should be Analyzed

(potential schizopost incoming) billionairesacademiaCIAlib mediabillionaires10.150.050.4academia0.110.20.5CIA0.150.1510.25lib media0.20.350.151nxn influence matrix On the row the influence an institution has over other institutions is outlined. As a result, you can also observe the dependencies an institution has. For example, billionaires have an influence of 0.15 over academia, and lib media has an influence of 0.2 over the police. Minimum …

Estimating Curtis Yarvin’s IQ

With some basic stats and help from twatter user MandelBrod, it was fairly simple to compute an estimate of his IQ. Yarvin was in the SMPY, a longitudinal study of talented youth which has various cohorts of varying ability. He was almost certainly selected into the 3rd one of 1/10000th talent, based on his birth …

Profiles of Anime Fans

note: haven't written in a while as i am working on getting something written under my real name (which i will not promote here) and a lengthy documentation of the IQs/ability tilts of different races Decently representative fan profiles should be easy to make with this website, who's profiles I will describe later in the …

DALLE-mini – Spanish vs English

note - this can also be interpreted as "a fucking disgusting girl in the scorching desert", possibly responsible for the discrepancy slightly less accurate translation, but was interpreted more accurately by the machine

Indicator that the Wrong Ship Won

this post will be used as evidence of my homosexuality in the 4th reich but w/e A very easy way to see if the author chose the wrong couple to get together is to compare the ship writing count between the canon ship and the competing ship. That is, the # of fanfictions on fanfiction.net …

On Ideology

Ideology is to me a set of beliefs that happen to cluster together which can be formally recognized or not. I think these are due to certain core beliefs which determine the rest of the beliefs. Let me offer a few examples to illustrate this. Libertarianism "Liberty is of upmost importance" With only this phrase …

Forecasting when IPv4 is 1% of all addresses

metaculus question using scuffed paint picture i'd say it's somewhere between 2037 and 2064

Attempt to Forecast When IPV6 hits 50%

scraped data here: https://archive.org/details/ipv6forecastingdata my code (hw3 takes like 10 minutes): https://archive.org/details/mycodelol TL;DR There is a question on metaculus where people are forecasting when IPv6 is going to hit 50% of traffic, and I am going to try to answer it. Key findings: -Forecasting the last 1021 days with the first 4000 days with Holt-Winters …

Political Compass Test is Dogshit

No.

The Libertarianism to Dissident Right Pipeline

"Fascism" is just another convenient category where you lump right-wingers who oppose liberal democracy with rabid kooks and ultranationalists, and it's always best to avoid using the language of your enemy. Back to the main topic - those who have followed online spaces should know that the libertarianism->DR pipeline exists. Richard Spencer, Eric Striker, Molyneux, …

Friendly Reminder Frogtwitter is Astroturfed

source skip to 1:30:00 or so. TL;DR: >peter thiel and moldbug knew each other before UR was written, they would talk at their mansion >given moldbug is highly intelligent and persuasive, peter thiel was impressed >4 days into creating UR moldbug was promoted by Andrew Sullivan, who has a very large following >moldbug is clearly …

Cognitive Ability and Political Views

ideological vocabulary here is American (e.g. fiscal conservatism - less regulation and spending)haven't seen good data outside the western world, so the conclusion is western-specific Summary The correlation between IQ and self-reported general conservatism is negative, and libertarian beliefs are positively associated with IQ. The latter relationship is robust after controlling for confounders, and there …

global update

-i have a tendency to whiff sentences/grammar so i fixed that in most posts -small corrections here and there -coll of popgen improved -more changes to come in 1 day or so

Civil War Won’t Happen in the USA

short article because im lazy. here's the data just draw your own conclusions nigga. here if you want a real article sensitivity analysis results (Hegre, 2006)

Documenting Monkeypox

NEW SPREADSHEET: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1CEBhao3rMe-qtCbAgJTn5ZKQMRFWeAeaiXFpBY3gbHE/edit#gid=0 Start of the Pandemic According to the Wikipedia article, the British resident who first got it in late April was infected with the West African version of the disease, which is less fatal (~1%). Contact tracing by WHO was conducted, and nobody linked to this man had the disease [1]. Contact tracing …

The Economist’s Case for Reaction: is Democracy Good for Growth?

Anglo Reaction

“More political rights do not have an effect on growth… The first lesson is that democracy is not the key to economic growth” - Robert J. Barro

“I’m a monarchist because we don’t have to live like this.” – Curtis Yarvin

This blog post is lengthy and divided into three sections, so feel free to skip to whatever interests you. The introduction summarises the recent history of anti-democratic thought on the Right and why we should empirically analyse the success of democracy. In the second section, ‘Democracy and Economic Growth’, I perform a short review of the economic literature on whether or not democracy improves economic growth. In the third section, ‘Reaction and the Problem of Variance’, I look at why dictatorships are more varied in their growth rates and whether or not this is a reason to prefer democracy.

Introduction

Away from academia and mainstream media, on the…

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Turks and Arabs are Not White

Exhibit 1: PCA plot (23andMe) Turks and Arabs clearly cluster away from the "Whites". The "whitest" people in the graph clearly cluster in the bottom middle - the British, Norwegians, the Germans, the Swiss, and the Swedes. Large and diverse sample of Europeans used, so the "they separated because that is the first component the …

Convenient Categories

If we are to believe that motivated reasoning plays a role in what political beliefs we have, then it could follow that the categories we use are as well. Let's take the famous example of the word racist. This word can inexplicably put a kid who says nigger on xbox live, me, and Alfred Rosenberg …

Making the 2 Perfect IQ Tests

Typically you want IQ tests for two things: quickly estimate IQ for things to correlate/study with it (fertility, personality, etc.)accurately asses the IQ of a student for college/job applications The latter will be named the "perfect SAT" and the former will be labeled "the meme test". The Perfect SAT: Summary: IQ test with permanent vocabulary, …

What is Intelligence?

In order to achieve the maximum probability of replicating their genes, it is important for animals to act in ways that enhance this goal. There are various ways they can do this - mate with members of their own species, collect food, drink water, defeat predators, control space, and so on. Lets take the example …